METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
Salt Lake City, USA
20 Aug 2022
Welterweight
VS
50%
Usman
50%
Edwards
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 5 · 4:04
★ Official Result
Leon EdwardswinsKO/TKOR5 · 4:04
def. Kamaru Usman · UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Usman
→
Actual result
Edwards wins
KO/TKO · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Usman at 50% vs Edwards at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Edwards has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
UsmanEdwards
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Usman
Edwards
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
76"+
Reach
74"
39
Age
+35
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Usman
Edwards
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.3
57.4
59.6
Performance Avg
51.1
46
Quality of Victory
36
55
Momentum Score
95
Usman
Edwards
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
4.2
7.1
Style: Volume
7.2
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
5
Body
4
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
9Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Usman
Edwards
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Usman
Edwards
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
60
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/25 fights
Chin rating based on
20/28 fights
Usman
Edwards
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
95
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Usman
Edwards
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
29%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
1
11
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Usman
Edwards
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.2
UsmanEdwards
Strike Zones
Usman
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedEdwards
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Usman targets the body (56% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Edwards targets the body (44% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Usman
RND
Edwards
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Usman · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
W · Dec · R5
Joaquin BuckleyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Khamzat ChimaevDecision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R5
Leon EdwardsKO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
Edwards · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Carlos PratesKO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Sub · R4
Sean BradySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonDecision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03