UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
Vancouver, Canada
27 Aug 2016
Lightweight
VS
89%
Kennedy
11%
Ricci
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JK
Jeremy Kennedy
"JBC"
11 – 1
5'11"71" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
AR
Alex Ricci
10 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox5'11"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kennedy

Kennedy is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Kennedy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Striking split: Ricci throws more volume but Kennedy connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Kennedy
Ricci
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
33+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kennedy
Ricci
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
2.1
45.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
72
Momentum Score
0
Kennedy
Ricci
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
36%
1.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
1
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
2Clinch2
1Ground0
Kennedy
Ricci
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kennedy
Ricci
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
2/15 fights
Kennedy
Ricci
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Kennedy
Ricci
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kennedy
Ricci
Striking1.5 / 0.0Volume9.5 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.3 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
9.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Kennedy
Strike Zones
Ricci
Kennedy
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Ricci
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kennedy targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ricci absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Ricci targets the head (33% of attacks) — Kennedy absorbs 33% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kennedy
RND
Ricci
0/0R00/0

Kennedy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.2L2016-082017-032017-072018-02
WinLossTrend

Ricci · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0105.5L1.5L2016-082017-02
WinLossTrend

Kennedy · Last 4

L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · Dec · R3
Kyle BochniakRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Rony JasonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
W · Dec · R3
Alex RicciRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08

Ricci · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Paul FelderRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy KennedyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08

News & Media

Jeremy Kennedy · Alex Ricci
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