UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards
San Antonio, USA
20 Jul 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
67%
Alvey
33%
Abreu
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SA
Sam Alvey
"Smile'N"
33 – 18
6'2"75" reachSouthpaw40 yrs8-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
KA
Klidson Abreu
"White Bear"
15 – 4
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Alvey

Alvey holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Abreu has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Alvey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Alvey has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Alvey's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Alvey
Abreu
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
40
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Alvey
Abreu
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.9
11.3
44.3
Performance Avg
28.3
45
Quality of Victory
25
43
Momentum Score
33
Alvey
Abreu
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
30%
5.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
6
2
Body
0
4
Leg
8
RangeRange
10Distance14
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Alvey
Abreu
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alvey
Abreu
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/51 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Alvey
Abreu
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
33
8-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Alvey
Abreu
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Alvey
Abreu
Striking5.9 / 0.7Volume4.1 / 8.7Grappling1.8 / 2.4Wrestling1.2 / 1.7Submission1.0 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Alvey
Strike Zones
Abreu
Alvey
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY4LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY8LEGS14 absorbed
Abreu
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY8LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY4LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Alvey targets the head (50% of attacks) — Abreu absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Abreu targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Alvey
RND
Abreu
0/0R00/0

Alvey · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W1.8L5.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.4W4.5W2.8L3.0L5.5L5.9L3.3L5.5L4.1L2.5L2014-082016-072017-102020-052022-08
WinLossTrend

Abreu · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0107.0L4.5W5.5L2019-022019-072019-11
WinLossTrend

Alvey · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendan AllenRating 4.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Julian MarquezRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon Jung
Decision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10

Abreu · Last 4

Upcoming
Jamahal Hill
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Shamil GamzatovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02

News & Media

Sam Alvey · Klidson Abreu
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