METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till
Liverpool, United Kingdom
27 May 2018
Middleweight
VS
65%
Theodorou
35%
Smith
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Elias TheodorouwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Trevor Smith · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Theodorou
→
Actual result
Theodorou wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Theodorou holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Smith has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Theodorou has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Smith has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TheodorouSmith
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Theodorou
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
75"
38+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Theodorou
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
10.9
52.0
Performance Avg
31.7
38
Quality of Victory
25
80
Momentum Score
45
Theodorou
Smith
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
1.3
7.5
Style: Volume
8.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
1
5
Body
6
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance2
8Clinch7
2Ground0
Theodorou
Smith
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Theodorou
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
26
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
12/25 fights
Theodorou
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
45
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Theodorou
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Theodorou
Smith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
TheodorouSmith
Strike Zones
Theodorou
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedSmith
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Theodorou targets the head (53% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the body (67% of attacks) — Theodorou absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Theodorou
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0
Theodorou · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersDecision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Makhmud MuradovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Andrew SanchezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12