UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till
Liverpool, United Kingdom
27 May 2018
Middleweight
VS
65%
Theodorou
35%
Smith
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ET
Elias Theodorou
"The Spartan"
16 – 3
6'1"75" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
TS
Trevor Smith
"Hot Sauce"
15 – 10
Well-Rounded3-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'3"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Theodorou

Theodorou holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Smith has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Theodorou has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Striking split: Theodorou throws more volume but Smith connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Smith has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Theodorou
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
75"
37+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Theodorou
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
10.9
52.0
Performance Avg
31.7
38
Quality of Victory
25
80
Momentum Score
45
Theodorou
Smith
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
53%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
1
5
Body
6
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance2
8Clinch7
2Ground0
Theodorou
Smith
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Theodorou
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
26
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
12/25 fights
Theodorou
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
45
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Theodorou
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Theodorou
Smith
Striking4.0 / 0.8Volume7.5 / 8.8Grappling1.8 / 2.4Wrestling1.3 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 1.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
Theodorou
Strike Zones
Smith
Theodorou
Attacking
9HEAD5BODY3LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD6BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Smith
Attacking
1HEAD6BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD5BODY3LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Theodorou targets the head (53% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the body (67% of attacks) — Theodorou absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Theodorou
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0

Theodorou · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W4.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.3W5.8L2014-042015-122017-072018-122019-05
WinLossTrend

Smith · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.7L4.5W1.5L4.5W1.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.9L5.0L2013-072014-072016-082018-052019-12
WinLossTrend

Theodorou · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07

Smith · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12

News & Media

Elias Theodorou · Trevor Smith
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