UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
Las Vegas, USA
7 Sept 2024
Middleweight
VS
91%
Petroski
9%
Budka
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Petroski
Petroski is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Petroski has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Petroski has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Petroski's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Budka has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Petroski
Budka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+75"
34
Age
+26
Switch
Stance
Switch
Petroski
Budka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.3
4.3
45.2
Performance Avg
0.0
34
Quality of Victory
0
63
Momentum Score
0
Petroski
Budka
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.2
55%
Strike Accuracy
16%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
5
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance2
0Clinch3
2Ground0
Petroski
Budka
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Petroski
Budka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Petroski
Budka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Petroski
Budka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Petroski
Budka
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PetroskiBudka
Strike Zones
Petroski
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedBudka
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Petroski targets the head (75% of attacks) — Budka absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Budka targets the head (100% of attacks) — Petroski absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Petroski
RND
Budka
0/0R00/0
Petroski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Budka · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Petroski · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Cody BrundageRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Cam RowstonRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Rodolfo VieiraRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Dylan BudkaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
Budka · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R2
Cesar AlmeidaRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04