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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
Las Vegas, USA
7 Sept 2024
Middleweight
VS
92%
Petroski
8%
Budka
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Andre
Andre Petroski
136
6'0"73" reachSwitch35 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 44
Dylan
Dylan Budka
"The Mindless Hulk"
75
Well-Rounded3-fight slide26 yrsSwitch75" reach6'0"
CFR 4
★ Official Result
Andre PetroskiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dylan Budka · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Petroski
Actual result
Petroski wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Petroski is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Petroski has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.

Risk flags

Petroski's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Budka has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PetroskiBudka
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Petroski
Budka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+75"
35
Age
+26
Switch
Stance
Switch
Petroski
Budka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.3
3.9
45.2
Performance Avg
0.0
34
Quality of Victory
0
63
Momentum Score
0
Petroski
Budka
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.2
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
5
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance2
0Clinch3
2Ground0
Petroski
Budka
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Petroski
Budka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
13/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Petroski
Budka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Petroski
Budka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Petroski
Budka
Striking2.5 / 0.0Volume6.2 / 0.0Grappling3.5 / 0.0Wrestling2.5 / 0.0Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Petroski
Strike Zones
Budka
Petroski
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Budka
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Petroski targets the head (75% of attacks) — Budka absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Budka targets the head (100% of attacks) — Petroski absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Petroski
RND
Budka
0/0R00/0

Petroski · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Cody Brundage
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Cam Rowston
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Edmen Shahbazyan
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Rodolfo Vieira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Dylan Budka
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09

Budka · Last 3

L · KO · R1
Edmen Shahbazyan
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Andre Petroski
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R2
Cesar Almeida
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04

News & Media

Andre Petroski · Dylan Budka
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