UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros
Austin, USA
18 Feb 2018
Heavyweight
VS
58%
Lewis
42%
Tybura
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:48
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lewis
This is a genuine toss-up — Lewis at 58% vs Tybura at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lewis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Striking split: Tybura throws more volume but Lewis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lewis's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tybura has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lewis
Tybura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
78"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lewis
Tybura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.2
42.5
57.5
Performance Avg
45.2
53
Quality of Victory
37
84
Momentum Score
58
Lewis
Tybura
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.6
56%
Strike Accuracy
53%
9.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
16 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
1
Body
2
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
1Distance5
3Clinch5
4Ground0
Lewis
Tybura
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lewis
Tybura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/42 fights
Chin rating based on
24/38 fights
Lewis
Tybura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
58
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Sub · R1
Lewis
Tybura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
36%
16
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lewis
Tybura
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
LewisTybura
Strike Zones
Lewis
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTybura
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lewis targets the head (88% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Tybura targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lewis
RND
Tybura
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lewis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Tybura · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Lewis · Last 5
Upcoming
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