METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 65: Bad Intentions
Sacramento, USA
18 Nov 2006
Heavyweight
VS
84%
O'Brien
16%
Shockman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jake O'BrienwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Josh Shockman · UFC 65: Bad Intentions
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
O'Brien
→
Actual result
O'Brien wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
O'Brien is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
O'Brien has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.
Risk flags
O'Brien's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
O'BrienShockman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
O'Brien
Shockman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
41+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
O'Brien
Shockman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.6
2.7
42.4
Performance Avg
0.0
33
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
O'Brien
Shockman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
7.1
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
0Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
O'Brien
Shockman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
O'Brien
Shockman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
1/9 fights
O'Brien
Shockman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
O'Brien
Shockman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
O'Brien
Shockman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
O'BrienShockman
Strike Zones
O'Brien
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedShockman
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shockman targets the legs (86% of attacks) — O'Brien absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
O'Brien
RND
Shockman
0/0R00/0
O'Brien · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jon JonesSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
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L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezKO/TKO
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
L · KO · R2
Andrei ArlovskiKO/TKO
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
W · Dec · R3
Heath HerringDecision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01
Shockman · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Jake O'BrienDecision
UFC 65: Bad Intentions · 2006-11