METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 65: Bad Intentions
Sacramento, USA
18 Nov 2006
Heavyweight
VS
84%
O'Brien
16%
Shockman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jake O'BrienwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Josh Shockman · UFC 65: Bad Intentions
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
O'Brien
→
Actual result
O'Brien wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
O'Brien is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
O'Brien has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.
Shockman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
O'Brien's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
O'BrienShockman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
O'Brien
Shockman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
41+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
O'Brien
Shockman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.6
2.7
42.4
Performance Avg
0.0
33
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
O'Brien
Shockman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
0.5
33%
Strike Accuracy
37%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
0Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
O'Brien
Shockman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
O'Brien
Shockman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
1/9 fights
O'Brien
Shockman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
O'Brien
Shockman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
O'Brien
Shockman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
O'BrienShockman
Strike Zones
O'Brien
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedShockman
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shockman targets the legs (86% of attacks) — O'Brien absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
O'Brien
RND
Shockman
0/0R00/0
O'Brien · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
O'Brien · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jon JonesRating 4.5Submission
UFC 100 · 2009-07
W · Dec · R3
Christian WellischRating 4.5Decision
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
L · KO · R2
Andrei ArlovskiRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
W · Dec · R3
Heath HerringRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01
Shockman · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Jake O'BrienRating 5.5Decision
UFC 65: Bad Intentions · 2006-11