UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
Seattle, USA
27 Jul 2013
Welterweight
VS
95%
Lawler
5%
Voelker
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:24
RL
Robbie Lawler
"Ruthless"
30 – 16
5'11"74" reachSouthpaw44 yrsStriker
CFR 41
BV
Bobby Voelker
"Vicious"
19 – 13
Well-Rounded4-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lawler

Lawler is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lawler has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.

Lawler has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lawler's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lawler
Voelker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
44+
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lawler
Voelker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
2.0
51.0
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
90
Momentum Score
0
Lawler
Voelker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
37%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
8 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Lawler
Voelker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lawler
Voelker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/46 fights
Chin rating based on
4/32 fights
Lawler
Voelker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Lawler
Voelker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
0%
8
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lawler
Voelker
Striking6.5 / 0.0Volume4.9 / 0.0Grappling1.1 / 0.0Wrestling0.8 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Lawler
Strike Zones
Voelker
Lawler
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Voelker
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lawler targets the head (100% of attacks) — Voelker absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Voelker targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lawler absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lawler
RND
Voelker
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Lawler · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.2W5.0W2.8L4.5W2.8L1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.9W4.5W5.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W5.7L1.5L6.8L6.1L5.2W3.2L5.7W2002-052013-022015-072020-082023-07
WinLossTrend

Voelker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L3.0L5.5L5.5L2013-032013-072013-122014-06
WinLossTrend

Lawler · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R3
Nick DiazRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08

Voelker · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Lance BenoistRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
William MacarioRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · KO · R2
Robbie LawlerRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Patrick CoteRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03

News & Media

Robbie Lawler · Bobby Voelker
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