Tom Lawlor vs Chris Weidman — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson

San Jose, USA

19 Nov 2011

Middleweight

30%

Lawlor

70%

Weidman

Win Probability

Submission

Round 1 · 2:07

Tom Lawlor

"Filthy"

10 – 6

6'0"74" reachSouthpaw43 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 20

Chris Weidman

"The All-American"

16 – 8

Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'2"

CFR 46

★ Official Result

Chris WeidmanwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:07

def. Tom Lawlor · UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Weidman

→

Actual result

Weidman wins

Submission · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Weidman is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Weidman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Risk flags

Weidman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

LawlorWeidman

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Lawlor

Weidman

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'0"

Height

+6'2"

74"

Reach

+78"

Age

+42

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Lawlor

Weidman

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

19.8

46.0

48.7

Performance Avg

57.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Lawlor

Weidman

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.4

/ 10

4.5

/ 10

6.3

Style: Pressure

5.9

3.8

Style: Volume

4.5

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

4 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

2Distance3

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Lawlor

Weidman

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.5

/ 10

3.0

/ 10

2.4

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.1

3.3

Submission Style (/10)

2.5

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Lawlor

Weidman

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

3 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R2.3 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

11/16 fights

Chin rating based on

20/24 fights

Lawlor

Weidman

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R2

W · Sub · R2

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

Last 5

L · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

Lawlor

Weidman

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

67%

58%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lawlor

Weidman

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.4

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.5

3.5

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.0

2.4

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.1

3.3

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.5

6.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.9

3.8

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.5

Lawlor

Strike Zones

Weidman

Lawlor

Attacking

2 landed

Absorbing

3 absorbed

Weidman

Attacking

3 landed

Absorbing

2 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Lawlor targets the head (100% of attacks) — Weidman absorbs 100% of strikes there

🎯Weidman targets the head (67% of attacks) — Lawlor absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lawlor

RND

Weidman

0/0R00/0

Lawlor · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Corey Anderson

Decision

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W · KO · R2

Gian Villante

KO/TKO

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W · Sub · R2

Michael Kuiper

Submission

UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04

L · Dec · R3

Francis Carmont

Decision

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W · KO · R1

Jason MacDonald

KO/TKO

UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05

Weidman · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Eryk Anders

KO/TKO

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W · Dec · R3

Bruno Silva

Decision

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Brad Tavares

Decision

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L · KO · R1

Uriah Hall

KO/TKO

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W · Dec · R3

Omari Akhmedov

Decision

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News & Media

Tom Lawlor · Chris Weidman

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