UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales
Las Vegas, USA
17 May 2025
Women's Bantamweight
VS
61%
Santos
39%
Lisboa
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:59
Luana
Luana Santos
10 – 2
5'6"67" reachOrthodox26 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 69
Tainara
Tainara Lisboa
"Thai Panther"
7 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Santos

Santos holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Lisboa has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lisboa has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Santos
Lisboa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
67"
Reach
67"
26+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Lisboa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.7
43.9
59.0
Performance Avg
41.0
43
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
46
Santos
Lisboa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
36%
3.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Santos
Lisboa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.2
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Lisboa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Santos
Lisboa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
46
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Santos
Lisboa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos
Lisboa
Striking3.7 / 1.0Volume4.9 / 5.0Grappling4.2 / 5.2Wrestling2.9 / 3.6Submission4.0 / 5.0Pressure6.7 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Santos
Strike Zones
Lisboa
Santos
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Lisboa
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lisboa absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lisboa targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Santos
RND
Lisboa
0/0R00/0

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.2W5.5W5.3W6.7L5.7W5.6W2023-082023-122024-072024-082025-052025-12
WinLossTrend

Lisboa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W4.5W4.4L5.1L2023-052023-102025-052025-10
WinLossTrend

Santos · Last 5

Upcoming
Karol Rosa
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Melissa CrodenRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R2
Tainara LisboaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Sub · R1
Mariya AgapovaRating 5.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

Lisboa · Last 4

L · KO · R3
Melissa CrodenRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Sub · R2
Luana SantosRating 4.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Ravena OliveiraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Sub · R3
Jessica-Rose ClarkRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05

News & Media

Luana Santos · Tainara Lisboa
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