METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales
Las Vegas, USA
17 May 2025
Women's Bantamweight
VS
61%
Santos
39%
Lisboa
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:59
★ Official Result
Luana SantoswinsSubmissionR2 · 4:59
def. Tainara Lisboa · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Santos wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Santos holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Lisboa has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lisboa has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SantosLisboa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Santos
Lisboa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
67"
Reach
67"
26+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Lisboa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.7
43.9
59.0
Performance Avg
41.0
43
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
46
Santos
Lisboa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
0.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
36%
3.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Santos
Lisboa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Lisboa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Santos
Lisboa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
46
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Santos
Lisboa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Lisboa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
SantosLisboa
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedLisboa
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lisboa absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lisboa targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Lisboa
0/0R00/0
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Lisboa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Santos · Last 5
Upcoming
Karol RosaUFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Melissa CrodenRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R2
Tainara LisboaRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillRating 6.7Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Sub · R1
Mariya AgapovaRating 5.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
Lisboa · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Melissa CrodenRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Sub · R2
Luana SantosRating 4.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Ravena OliveiraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Sub · R3
Jessica-Rose ClarkRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05