METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
42%
Calvillo
58%
Esparza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Carla EsparzawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cynthia Calvillo · UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Esparza
→
Actual result
Esparza wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Calvillo at 42% vs Esparza at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Calvillo's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Esparza has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CalvilloEsparza
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Calvillo
Esparza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'1"
64"+
Reach
63"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Calvillo
Esparza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.8
40.7
42.8
Performance Avg
45.9
38
Quality of Victory
35
25
Momentum Score
60
Calvillo
Esparza
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
3.3
5.0
Style: Volume
7.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
12
0
Body
0
0
Leg
10
RangeRange
10Distance21
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Calvillo
Esparza
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Calvillo
Esparza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/15 fights
Chin rating based on
16/28 fights
Calvillo
Esparza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
60
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Calvillo
Esparza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Calvillo
Esparza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
CalvilloEsparza
Strike Zones
Calvillo
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedEsparza
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Calvillo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Esparza absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Esparza targets the head (55% of attacks) — Calvillo absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Calvillo
RND
Esparza
0/0R00/0
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L · Dec · R3
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Esparza · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonDecision
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L · Sub · R2
Zhang WeiliSubmission
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