METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
42%
Calvillo
58%
Esparza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Carla EsparzawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cynthia Calvillo · UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Esparza
→
Actual result
Esparza wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Calvillo at 42% vs Esparza at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Calvillo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Calvillo's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Esparza has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CalvilloEsparza
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Calvillo
Esparza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'1"
64"+
Reach
63"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Calvillo
Esparza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.8
40.7
42.8
Performance Avg
45.9
38
Quality of Victory
35
25
Momentum Score
60
Calvillo
Esparza
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
0.8
42%
Strike Accuracy
40%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
12
0
Body
0
0
Leg
10
RangeRange
10Distance21
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Calvillo
Esparza
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Calvillo
Esparza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/15 fights
Chin rating based on
16/28 fights
Calvillo
Esparza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
60
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Calvillo
Esparza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Calvillo
Esparza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
CalvilloEsparza
Strike Zones
Calvillo
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedEsparza
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Calvillo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Esparza absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Esparza targets the head (55% of attacks) — Calvillo absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Calvillo
RND
Esparza
0/0R00/0
Calvillo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Esparza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Calvillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Nina NunesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Andrea LeeRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 5.8Decision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
Esparza · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 6.2Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Zhang WeiliRating 4Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasRating 5.9Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · KO · R2
Yan XiaonanRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07