The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2008
Welterweight
VS
55%
Johnson
45%
Burns
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:28
AJ
Anthony Johnson
"Rumble"
22 – 6
6'2"78" reachOrthodox42 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 23
KB
Kevin Burns
"The Fire"
12 – 7
Pressure Fighter3-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 55% vs Burns at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Johnson's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Burns has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Johnson
Burns
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
78"+
Reach
74"
42+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Burns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
18.6
60.4
Performance Avg
45.8
55
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
59
Johnson
Burns
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
36%
9.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
11 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
2
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Johnson
Burns
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Burns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
5/19 fights
Johnson
Burns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
Johnson
Burns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
100%
11
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Burns
Striking9.8 / 5.8Volume2.6 / 0.8Grappling0.4 / 4.0Wrestling0.3 / 2.8Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure8.0 / 8.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
Johnson
Strike Zones
Burns
Johnson
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Burns
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (57% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Burns targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Burns
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W2.8L5.0W4.0L5.5W5.0W5.0W2.8L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.8L5.2W5.0W5.4W2.1L2007-062009-022012-012015-092017-04
WinLossTrend

Burns · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.2W5.5W4.0L5.5L1.5L2008-062008-072008-122009-062009-12
WinLossTrend

Johnson · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Daniel CormierRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Jimi ManuwaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Daniel CormierRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05

Burns · Last 5

L · KO · R1
TJ GrantRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
L · Dec · R3
Chris LytleRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06
L · KO · R3
Anthony JohnsonRating 4
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12
W · KO · R3
Anthony JohnsonRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
W · Sub · R2
Roan CarneiroRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 85: Bedlam · 2008-06

News & Media

Anthony Johnson · Kevin Burns
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