METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2008
Welterweight
VS
55%
Johnson
45%
Burns
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:28
★ Official Result
Anthony JohnsonwinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:28
def. Kevin Burns · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 55% vs Burns at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Burns has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonBurns
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Burns
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
78"+
Reach
74"
42+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Burns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
18.6
60.4
Performance Avg
45.8
55
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
59
Johnson
Burns
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.8
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
8.2
2.6
Style: Volume
0.8
11 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
2
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Johnson
Burns
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Burns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
5/19 fights
Johnson
Burns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
Johnson
Burns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
100%
11
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Burns
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
JohnsonBurns
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedBurns
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (57% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Burns targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Burns
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Johnson · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Daniel CormierSubmission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraKO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan BaderKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Jimi ManuwaKO/TKO
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Daniel CormierSubmission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
Burns · Last 5
L · KO · R1
TJ GrantKO/TKO
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
L · Dec · R3
Chris LytleDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06
L · KO · R3
Anthony JohnsonKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12
W · KO · R3
Anthony JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
W · Sub · R2
Roan CarneiroSubmission
UFC 85: Bedlam · 2008-06