UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
Anaheim, USA
23 Oct 2010
Welterweight
VS
34%
Guymon
66%
Roberts
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:13
MG
Mike Guymon
"The Joker"
15 – 6
6'0"74" reachOrthodox51 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 9
DR
Daniel Roberts
"Ninja"
15 – 7
Well-Rounded3-fight slide45 yrsSouthpaw74" reach5'10"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Roberts

Roberts holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Guymon has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Roberts has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Guymon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Guymon's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Guymon
Roberts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"
Reach
74"
51
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Guymon
Roberts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.6
17.0
25.0
Performance Avg
43.7
25
Quality of Victory
44
17
Momentum Score
49
Guymon
Roberts
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.4
62%
Strike Accuracy
20%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Guymon
Roberts
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Guymon
Roberts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Guymon
Roberts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
49
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Guymon
Roberts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Guymon
Roberts
Striking0.5 / 0.9Volume8.5 / 3.5Grappling2.4 / 6.1Wrestling1.7 / 4.3Submission0.0 / 6.7Pressure0.8 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Guymon
Strike Zones
Roberts
Guymon
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Roberts
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Roberts targets the head (50% of attacks) — Guymon absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Guymon
RND
Roberts
0/0R00/0

Guymon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.3
0101.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L2010-012010-052010-102011-01
WinLossTrend

Roberts · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0101.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L2010-032010-102011-042012-01
WinLossTrend

Guymon · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
DaMarques JohnsonRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01
L · Sub · R1
Daniel RobertsRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
W · Dec · R3
Yoshiyuki YoshidaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · Sub · R1
Rory MacDonaldRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01

Roberts · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Charlie BrennemanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Rich AttonitoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Claude PatrickRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Sub · R1
Greg SotoRating 5
Submission
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
W · Sub · R1
Mike GuymonRating 5
Submission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10

News & Media

Mike Guymon · Daniel Roberts
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