METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
Anaheim, USA
23 Oct 2010
Welterweight
VS
34%
Guymon
66%
Roberts
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:13
★ Official Result
Daniel RobertswinsSubmissionR1 · 1:13
def. Mike Guymon · UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Roberts
→
Actual result
Roberts wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Roberts holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Guymon has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Roberts has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Risk flags
Guymon's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GuymonRoberts
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Guymon
Roberts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"
Reach
74"
51
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Guymon
Roberts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.6
17.0
25.0
Performance Avg
43.7
25
Quality of Victory
44
17
Momentum Score
49
Guymon
Roberts
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
0.8
Style: Pressure
6.0
8.5
Style: Volume
3.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Guymon
Roberts
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Guymon
Roberts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Guymon
Roberts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
49
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Guymon
Roberts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Guymon
Roberts
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
GuymonRoberts
Strike Zones
Guymon
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedRoberts
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Roberts targets the head (50% of attacks) — Guymon absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Guymon
RND
Roberts
0/0R00/0
Guymon · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
DaMarques JohnsonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01
L · Sub · R1
Daniel RobertsSubmission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
W · Dec · R3
Yoshiyuki YoshidaDecision
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · Sub · R1
Rory MacDonaldSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01
Roberts · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charlie BrennemanDecision
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Rich AttonitoDecision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Claude PatrickDecision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Sub · R1
Greg SotoSubmission
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
W · Sub · R1
Mike GuymonSubmission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10