METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
Anaheim, USA
23 Oct 2010
Welterweight
VS
34%
Guymon
66%
Roberts
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:13
★ Official Result
Daniel RobertswinsSubmissionR1 · 1:13
def. Mike Guymon · UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Roberts
→
Actual result
Roberts wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Roberts holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Guymon has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Roberts has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Guymon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Guymon's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GuymonRoberts
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Guymon
Roberts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"
Reach
74"
51
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Guymon
Roberts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.6
17.0
25.0
Performance Avg
43.7
25
Quality of Victory
44
17
Momentum Score
49
Guymon
Roberts
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
0.4
62%
Strike Accuracy
20%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Guymon
Roberts
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Guymon
Roberts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Guymon
Roberts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
49
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Guymon
Roberts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Guymon
Roberts
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
GuymonRoberts
Strike Zones
Guymon
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedRoberts
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Roberts targets the head (50% of attacks) — Guymon absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Guymon
RND
Roberts
0/0R00/0
Guymon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.3WinLossTrend
Roberts · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Guymon · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
DaMarques JohnsonRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01
L · Sub · R1
Daniel RobertsRating 1.5Submission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
W · Dec · R3
Yoshiyuki YoshidaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · Sub · R1
Rory MacDonaldRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01
Roberts · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charlie BrennemanRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Rich AttonitoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Claude PatrickRating 5.5Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Sub · R1
Greg SotoRating 5Submission
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
W · Sub · R1
Mike GuymonRating 5Submission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10