UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2
Orlando, USA
19 Dec 2015
Heavyweight
VS
71%
Ngannou
29%
Henrique
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:53
FN
Francis Ngannou
"The Predator"
17 – 3
6'4"83" reachOrthodox39 yrs6-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 43
LH
Luis Henrique
"KLB"
10 – 5
Submission Hunter3-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'2"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ngannou

Ngannou is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ngannou has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Ngannou has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Henrique has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ngannou
Henrique
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
83"+
Reach
74"
39
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ngannou
Henrique
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.0
17.2
70.4
Performance Avg
41.7
60
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
52
Ngannou
Henrique
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
39%
9.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
9 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
1
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance1
2Clinch0
1Ground0
Ngannou
Henrique
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ngannou
Henrique
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
Ngannou
Henrique
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
52
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
Ngannou
Henrique
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
100%
9
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ngannou
Henrique
Striking9.2 / 0.7Volume2.4 / 0.7Grappling0.9 / 8.0Wrestling0.6 / 5.6Submission0.8 / 10.0Pressure8.4 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Ngannou
Strike Zones
Henrique
Ngannou
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Henrique
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ngannou targets the head (83% of attacks) — Henrique absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Henrique targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ngannou absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ngannou
RND
Henrique
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ngannou · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.2W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.7W5.0W6.6L6.7L5.9W5.0W5.0W6.1W6.2W6.2W2015-122017-012018-112021-032022-01
WinLossTrend

Henrique · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0103.1L5.2W5.5W4.4L5.5L5.9L2015-122016-072016-112017-032017-092018-09
WinLossTrend

Ngannou · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Ciryl GaneRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01
W · KO · R2
Stipe MiocicRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Junior Dos SantosRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02

Henrique · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ryan SpannRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Arjan BhullarRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · KO · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
W · Sub · R3
Christian ColomboRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · Sub · R2
Dmitrii SmoliakovRating 5.2
Submission
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07

News & Media

Francis Ngannou · Luis Henrique
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