UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
1 Aug 2015
Bantamweight
VS
30%
Viana
70%
Cannetti
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cannetti
Cannetti is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cannetti has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Viana's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cannetti has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Viana
Cannetti
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
+68"
43+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Viana
Cannetti
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
34.3
42.0
Performance Avg
40.6
37
Quality of Victory
41
45
Momentum Score
68
Viana
Cannetti
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.5
42%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
1
Body
7
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance4
1Clinch6
0Ground0
Viana
Cannetti
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Viana
Cannetti
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
28
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
10/18 fights
Viana
Cannetti
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
68
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Viana
Cannetti
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Viana
Cannetti
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
VianaCannetti
Strike Zones
Viana
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedCannetti
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Viana targets the body (100% of attacks) — Cannetti absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Cannetti targets the body (70% of attacks) — Viana absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Viana
RND
Cannetti
0/0R00/0
Viana · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Cannetti · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Viana · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Guido CannettiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
W · Dec · R3
Ramiro HernandezRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
TJ DillashawRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04
W · KO · R1
Reuben DuranRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
Cannetti · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Mario BautistaRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · Sub · R1
Randy CostaRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · KO · R1
Kris MoutinhoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Mana MartinezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · KO · R1
Batgerel DanaaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03