METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jan 2015
Flyweight
VS
76%
Horiguchi
24%
Gaudinot
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kyoji HoriguchiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Louis Gaudinot · UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Horiguchi
→
Actual result
Horiguchi wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Horiguchi is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gaudinot has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Risk flags
Horiguchi's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HoriguchiGaudinot
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Horiguchi
Gaudinot
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
63"
Reach
63"
35+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Horiguchi
Gaudinot
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.6
18.7
53.7
Performance Avg
48.6
35
Quality of Victory
64
100
Momentum Score
36
Horiguchi
Gaudinot
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
7.8
7.0
Style: Volume
0.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
2
4
Body
0
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
15Distance7
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Horiguchi
Gaudinot
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Horiguchi
Gaudinot
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/41 fights
Chin rating based on
5/12 fights
Horiguchi
Gaudinot
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
36
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
Horiguchi
Gaudinot
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Horiguchi
Gaudinot
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
HoriguchiGaudinot
Strike Zones
Horiguchi
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedGaudinot
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Horiguchi targets the head (75% of attacks) — Gaudinot absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Gaudinot targets the legs (71% of attacks) — Horiguchi absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Horiguchi
RND
Gaudinot
0/0R00/0
Horiguchi · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Manel KapeKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Amir AlbaziDecision
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W · Sub · R3
Tagir UlanbekovSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Ali BagautinovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Neil SeeryDecision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
Gaudinot · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiDecision
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
Upcoming
Phil HarrisUFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottDecision
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
W · Sub · R2
John LinekerSubmission
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
L · KO · R3
Johnny BedfordKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale · 2011-12