METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie
Greenville, USA
22 Jun 2019
Middleweight
VS
53%
Winn
47%
Spicely
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Deron WinnwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Eric Spicely · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Winn
→
Actual result
Winn wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Winn at 53% vs Spicely at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Spicely has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Risk flags
Winn's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Spicely has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WinnSpicely
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Winn
Spicely
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+6'1"
70"
Reach
+73"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Winn
Spicely
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.6
17.3
31.0
Performance Avg
43.8
25
Quality of Victory
54
55
Momentum Score
52
Winn
Spicely
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
1.2
Style: Pressure
7.9
8.8
Style: Volume
0.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
45
Head
39
7
Body
7
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
45Distance32
10Clinch14
0Ground0
Winn
Spicely
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Winn
Spicely
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
30
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/10 fights
Chin rating based on
7/18 fights
Winn
Spicely
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
52
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Winn
Spicely
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Winn
Spicely
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
1.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
WinnSpicely
Strike Zones
Winn
Attacking
55 landedAbsorbing
46 absorbedSpicely
Attacking
46 landedAbsorbing
55 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Winn targets the head (82% of attacks) — Spicely absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Spicely targets the head (85% of attacks) — Winn absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Winn
RND
Spicely
0/0R00/0
Winn · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Phil HawesKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Antonio ArroyoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Gerald MeerschaertSubmission
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Darren StewartDecision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Eric SpicelyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
Spicely · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Deron WinnDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
L · KO · R2
Darren StewartKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
L · KO · R2
Gerald MeerschaertKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12
L · Sub · R2
Antonio Carlos JuniorSubmission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R1
Alessio Di ChiricoSubmission
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01