METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Penn
This is a genuine toss-up — Penn at 51% vs Fitch at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Penn has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Fitch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Penn's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
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Penn
Fitch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+74"
47+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Penn
Fitch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.2
21.0
56.9
Performance Avg
52.4
63
Quality of Victory
32
100
Momentum Score
100
Penn
Fitch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
57%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
21
0
Body
1
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch4
0Ground20
Penn
Fitch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.9
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.1
4
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Penn
Fitch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/30 fights
Chin rating based on
18/37 fights
Penn
Fitch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Penn
Fitch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
29%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Penn
Fitch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.1
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
1.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
PennFitch
Strike Zones
Penn
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedFitch
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Penn targets the head (100% of attacks) — Fitch absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Fitch targets the head (81% of attacks) — Penn absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Penn
RND
Fitch
0/0R00/0
Penn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Fitch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Penn · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Ryan HallRating 1.5Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · KO · R2
Yair RodriguezRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · KO · R3
Frankie EdgarRating 2.8KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07
Fitch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Johny HendricksRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
Upcoming
BJ PennDecision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08