UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
12 Dec 2015
Middleweight
VS
45%
Souza
55%
Romero
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JS
Jacare Souza
26 – 10
6'1"72" reachOrthodox46 yrs4-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 20
YR
Yoel Romero
"Soldier of God"
13 – 5
Knockout Artist3-fight slide49 yrsSouthpaw73" reach6'0"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Romero

This is a genuine toss-up — Souza at 45% vs Romero at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Souza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Souza's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Souza
Romero
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+73"
46+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Souza
Romero
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
24.0
54.6
Performance Avg
56.4
53
Quality of Victory
48
56
Momentum Score
100
Souza
Romero
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.2
56%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
9
5
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance13
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Souza
Romero
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Souza
Romero
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/36 fights
Chin rating based on
13/18 fights
Souza
Romero
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Souza
Romero
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
78%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
4
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Souza
Romero
Striking5.6 / 9.2Volume2.0 / 3.2Grappling3.8 / 0.5Wrestling2.7 / 0.4Submission4.4 / 0.0Pressure7.9 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
Souza
Strike Zones
Romero
Souza
Attacking
12HEAD5BODY1LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Romero
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD5BODY1LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Souza targets the head (67% of attacks) — Romero absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Romero targets the head (69% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Souza
RND
Romero
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Souza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W3.7L5.3W5.8L6.3W6.4L6.1L2.1L2.4L2013-052015-042017-042019-042021-05
WinLossTrend

Romero · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W5.5W5.8W4.5W5.5W5.2W4.5W6.3W6.4L5.3W6.4L6.5L6.9L2013-042014-092017-072020-03
WinLossTrend

Souza · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Andre MunizRating 2.4
Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Kevin HollandRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · Dec · R5
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack HermanssonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11

Romero · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
W · KO · R3
Luke RockholdRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07

News & Media

Jacare Souza · Yoel Romero
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