METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
12 Dec 2015
Middleweight
VS
45%
Souza
55%
Romero
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Yoel RomerowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jacare Souza · UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Romero
→
Actual result
Romero wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Souza at 45% vs Romero at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Souza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Souza's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SouzaRomero
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Souza
Romero
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+73"
46+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Souza
Romero
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
24.0
54.6
Performance Avg
56.4
53
Quality of Victory
48
56
Momentum Score
100
Souza
Romero
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.2
56%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
9
5
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance13
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Souza
Romero
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Souza
Romero
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/36 fights
Chin rating based on
13/18 fights
Souza
Romero
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Souza
Romero
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
78%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
4
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Souza
Romero
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
SouzaRomero
Strike Zones
Souza
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedRomero
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Souza targets the head (67% of attacks) — Romero absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Romero targets the head (69% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Souza
RND
Romero
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Souza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Romero · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Souza · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Andre MunizRating 2.4Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Kevin HollandRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · Dec · R5
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack HermanssonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
Romero · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9Decision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 6.5Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
W · KO · R3
Luke RockholdRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07