METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
12 Dec 2015
Middleweight
VS
45%
Souza
55%
Romero
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Yoel RomerowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jacare Souza · UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Romero
→
Actual result
Romero wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Souza at 45% vs Romero at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Souza's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SouzaRomero
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Souza
Romero
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+73"
46+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Souza
Romero
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
24.0
54.6
Performance Avg
56.4
53
Quality of Victory
48
56
Momentum Score
100
Souza
Romero
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
9.2
/ 10
7.9
Style: Pressure
7.5
2.0
Style: Volume
3.2
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
9
5
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance13
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Souza
Romero
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Souza
Romero
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/36 fights
Chin rating based on
13/18 fights
Souza
Romero
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Souza
Romero
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
78%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
4
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Souza
Romero
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
SouzaRomero
Strike Zones
Souza
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedRomero
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Souza targets the head (67% of attacks) — Romero absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Romero targets the head (69% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Souza
RND
Romero
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Souza · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Andre MunizSubmission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Kevin HollandKO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · Dec · R5
Jan BlachowiczDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack HermanssonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Chris WeidmanKO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
Romero · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Israel AdesanyaDecision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaDecision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerDecision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
W · KO · R3
Luke RockholdKO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerDecision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07