The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Franklin Finale
Las Vegas, USA
5 Nov 2005
Welterweight
VS
49%
Guillard
51%
Davis
Win Probability
MD
CFR 19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Davis
This is a genuine toss-up — Guillard at 49% vs Davis at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Guillard throws more volume but Davis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Guillard's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Davis has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Guillard
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
43+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Guillard
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
18.7
49.7
Performance Avg
52.8
45
Quality of Victory
48
73
Momentum Score
56
Guillard
Davis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
42%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
7 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Guillard
Davis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.1
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Guillard
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
6
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/50 fights
Chin rating based on
15/33 fights
Guillard
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
56
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Guillard
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
78%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Guillard
Davis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
GuillardDavis
Strike Zones
Guillard
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedDavis
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Guillard targets the head (92% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Guillard
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0
Guillard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Davis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Guillard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6Decision
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