METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Franklin Finale
Las Vegas, USA
5 Nov 2005
Welterweight
VS
49%
Guillard
51%
Davis
Win Probability
MG
Melvin Guillard
"The Young Assassin"
32 – 18
5'9"71" reachOrthodox43 yrsStriker
CFR 18
MD
Marcus Davis
"The Irish Hand Grenade"
22 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide52 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'10"
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Melvin GuillardwinsR2 · 2:55
def. Marcus Davis · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Franklin Finale

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Davis
→
Actual result
Guillard wins
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Guillard at 49% vs Davis at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Guillard throws more volume but Davis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Guillard's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Davis has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GuillardDavis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Guillard
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
43+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Guillard
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
18.7
49.7
Performance Avg
52.8
45
Quality of Victory
48
73
Momentum Score
56
Guillard
Davis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
42%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
7 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Guillard
Davis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.1
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Guillard
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
6
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/50 fights
Chin rating based on
15/33 fights
Guillard
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
56
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Guillard
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
78%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Guillard
Davis
Striking7.0 / 4.5Volume3.8 / 3.0Grappling0.8 / 4.1Wrestling0.6 / 2.9Submission0.0 / 4.4Pressure5.8 / 7.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
Guillard
Strike Zones
Davis
Guillard
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Davis
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Guillard targets the head (92% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Guillard
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0

Guillard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0104.2W1.5L5.0W5.2W1.5L1.5L5.0W4.5W2.8L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L1.9L4.5W1.5L5.5L5.2W5.6L2005-112008-072011-012012-122014-03
WinLossTrend

Davis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.8L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.2W4.5W5.5L1.5L5.2W4.0L4.5L2005-112007-062008-102010-052011-01
WinLossTrend

Guillard · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
Upcoming
Ross Pearson
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · KO · R2
Mac DanzigRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Jamie VarnerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08

Davis · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Jeremy StephensRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · Sub · R3
Nate DiazRating 4
Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · KO · R2
Jonathan GouletRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Ben SaundersRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06

News & Media

Melvin Guillard · Marcus Davis
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