UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
New York City, USA
2 Nov 2019
Heavyweight
VS
69%
Lewis
31%
Ivanov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lewis
Lewis holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Ivanov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lewis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Lewis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lewis's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lewis
Ivanov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
79"+
Reach
73"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lewis
Ivanov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.2
27.2
57.5
Performance Avg
30.0
53
Quality of Victory
25
84
Momentum Score
50
Lewis
Ivanov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.0
56%
Strike Accuracy
41%
9.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
16 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
5
3
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance6
5Clinch1
0Ground0
Lewis
Ivanov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lewis
Ivanov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
90
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
8
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/42 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Lewis
Ivanov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
50
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Lewis
Ivanov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
16
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lewis
Ivanov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
LewisIvanov
Strike Zones
Lewis
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedIvanov
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lewis targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ivanov absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Ivanov targets the head (71% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lewis
RND
Ivanov
0/0R00/0
Lewis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Ivanov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Lewis · Last 5
Upcoming
Josh HokitUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R5
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
Ivanov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexandr RomanovRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.1Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · Dec · R3
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisRating 6.7Decision
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11