UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Anaheim, USA
17 Feb 2024
Middleweight
VS
54%
Hernandez
46%
Kopylov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:23
AH
Anthony Hernandez
"Fluffy"
15 – 3
6'0"75" reachOrthodox32 yrsPressure Fighter
CFR 64
Roman
Roman Kopylov
15 – 5
Striker34 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'0"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hernandez

This is a genuine toss-up — Hernandez at 54% vs Kopylov at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Kopylov throws more volume but Hernandez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Hernandez's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hernandez
Kopylov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Hernandez
Kopylov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.7
54.3
56.2
Performance Avg
50.3
44
Quality of Victory
45
98
Momentum Score
58
Hernandez
Kopylov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.9
66%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
13
1
Body
5
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance18
2Clinch1
1Ground0
Hernandez
Kopylov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hernandez
Kopylov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
70
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/18 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Hernandez
Kopylov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
58
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Hernandez
Kopylov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
71%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
5
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hernandez
Kopylov
Striking3.7 / 8.3Volume3.3 / 3.5Grappling5.0 / 0.7Wrestling3.5 / 0.5Submission5.6 / 0.0Pressure7.7 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.3
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
5.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Hernandez
Strike Zones
Kopylov
Hernandez
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD5BODY1LEGS19 absorbed
Kopylov
Attacking
13HEAD5BODY1LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hernandez targets the head (86% of attacks) — Kopylov absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Kopylov targets the head (68% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hernandez
RND
Kopylov
0/0R00/0

Hernandez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0102.8L6.3W2.1L6.5W4.5W5.5W6.9W6.2W6.1W5.8W6.8W3.9L2019-022021-022023-052025-022026-02
WinLossTrend

Kopylov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.0L5.5L5.5W6.2W5.6W5.2W4.2L5.6W6.2W6.5L7.1L5.8W2019-112023-012024-022025-072026-05
WinLossTrend

Hernandez · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Sean StricklandRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R4
Roman DolidzeRating 6.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · KO · R5
Michel PereiraRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R2
Roman KopylovRating 6.2
Submission
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Kopylov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Marco TulioRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Gregory RodriguesRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Chris CurtisRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Cesar AlmeidaRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

News & Media

Anthony Hernandez · Roman Kopylov
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