UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
17 Dec 2022
Flyweight
VS
32%
Dvorak
68%
Kape
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DD
David Dvorak
"Undertaker"
20 – 6
5'5"68" reachOrthodox33 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 33
Manel
Manel Kape
"StarBoy"
22 – 7
Knockout Artist3-fight win streak32 yrsSouthpaw68" reach5'5"
CFR 70

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kape

Kape holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Dvorak has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Kape has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.

Kape has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Dvorak
Kape
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
68"
Reach
68"
33
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Dvorak
Kape
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.2
69.6
40.8
Performance Avg
61.4
35
Quality of Victory
56
43
Momentum Score
89
Dvorak
Kape
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
59%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
9
1
Body
5
3
Leg
5
RangeRange
13Distance18
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Dvorak
Kape
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dvorak
Kape
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/26 fights
Chin rating based on
11/29 fights
Dvorak
Kape
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
89
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Dvorak
Kape
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
71%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dvorak
Kape
Striking1.0 / 8.5Volume6.3 / 3.7Grappling4.3 / 0.7Wrestling3.0 / 0.5Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 7.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Dvorak
Strike Zones
Kape
Dvorak
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY3LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD5BODY5LEGS19 absorbed
Kape
Attacking
9HEAD5BODY5LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY3LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dvorak targets the head (69% of attacks) — Kape absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Kape targets the head (47% of attacks) — Dvorak absorbs 47% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dvorak
RND
Kape
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Dvorak · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.4W4.5W5.0W5.7L7.2L6.1L2020-032020-092021-052022-032022-122023-06
WinLossTrend

Kape · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0106.8L5.7L5.8W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.9L6.4W6.4W5.8W2021-022021-122024-072025-12
WinLossTrend

Dvorak · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Manel KapeRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Matheus NicolauRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · Sub · R1
Juancamilo RonderosRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
W · Dec · R3
Jordan EspinosaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09

Kape · Last 5

Upcoming
Kyoji Horiguchi
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · KO · R3
Asu AlmabayevRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

News & Media

David Dvorak · Manel Kape
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