METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
17 Dec 2022
Flyweight
VS
31%
Dvorak
69%
Kape
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Manel KapewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. David Dvorak · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kape
→
Actual result
Kape wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Kape holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Dvorak has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kape has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DvorakKape
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dvorak
Kape
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
68"
Reach
68"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Dvorak
Kape
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.2
72.8
40.8
Performance Avg
65.8
35
Quality of Victory
61
43
Momentum Score
89
Dvorak
Kape
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
8.9
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
7.4
6.3
Style: Volume
3.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
9
1
Body
5
3
Leg
5
RangeRange
13Distance18
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Dvorak
Kape
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dvorak
Kape
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/26 fights
Chin rating based on
11/29 fights
Dvorak
Kape
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
89
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Dvorak
Kape
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dvorak
Kape
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.9
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
DvorakKape
Strike Zones
Dvorak
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedKape
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dvorak targets the head (69% of attacks) — Kape absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Kape targets the head (47% of attacks) — Dvorak absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dvorak
RND
Kape
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Dvorak · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegDecision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Manel KapeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Matheus NicolauDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · Sub · R1
Juancamilo RonderosSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
W · Dec · R3
Jordan EspinosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
Kape · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Brandon RoyvalKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · KO · R3
Asu AlmabayevKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad MokaevDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07