UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker
Auckland, New Zealand
22 Feb 2020
Featherweight
VS
20%
Aguilar
80%
Tukhugov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:21
KA
Kevin Aguilar
"Angel of Death"
17 – 5
5'7"73" reachOrthodox37 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 11
ZT
Zubaira Tukhugov
"Warrior"
20 – 6
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tukhugov

Tukhugov is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tukhugov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Striking split: Aguilar throws more volume but Tukhugov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Aguilar
Tukhugov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
73"+
Reach
68"
37
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Aguilar
Tukhugov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.8
44.4
28.3
Performance Avg
48.4
25
Quality of Victory
39
35
Momentum Score
92
Aguilar
Tukhugov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.4
36%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
26
3
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance15
0Clinch0
0Ground13
Aguilar
Tukhugov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aguilar
Tukhugov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/22 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Aguilar
Tukhugov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
92
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
Aguilar
Tukhugov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Aguilar
Tukhugov
Striking0.7 / 5.3Volume8.7 / 6.0Grappling2.4 / 1.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Aguilar
Strike Zones
Tukhugov
Aguilar
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD2BODY0LEGS28 absorbed
Tukhugov
Attacking
26HEAD2BODY0LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Aguilar targets the head (44% of attacks) — Tukhugov absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Tukhugov targets the head (93% of attacks) — Aguilar absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Aguilar
RND
Tukhugov
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Aguilar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.6W4.5W6.2L2.0L5.5L5.5L2018-112019-032019-062020-022020-062021-05
WinLossTrend

Tukhugov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.7W5.0W4.5W6.3L5.0W5.6L4.6W6.3L2014-022015-122020-022021-102023-02
WinLossTrend

Aguilar · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tucker LutzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Zubaira TukhugovRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Enrique BarzolaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03

Tukhugov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Elves BrenerRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Ricardo RamosRating 4.6
Decision
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Kevin AguilarRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
Upcoming
Lerone Murphy
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09

News & Media

Kevin Aguilar · Zubaira Tukhugov
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