UFC 100
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2009
Middleweight
VS
58%
Lawlor
42%
Dollaway
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:55
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lawlor
This is a genuine toss-up — Lawlor at 58% vs Dollaway at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Dollaway has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Dollaway has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lawlor
Dollaway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+76"
43
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lawlor
Dollaway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.8
14.3
48.7
Performance Avg
44.3
45
Quality of Victory
37
75
Momentum Score
51
Lawlor
Dollaway
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.9
36%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Lawlor
Dollaway
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lawlor
Dollaway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
20/26 fights
Lawlor
Dollaway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
51
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Lawlor
Dollaway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
36%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lawlor
Dollaway
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
LawlorDollaway
Strike Zones
Lawlor
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedDollaway
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dollaway targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lawlor absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lawlor
RND
Dollaway
0/0R00/0
Lawlor · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Dollaway · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Lawlor · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5Decision
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W · KO · R2
Gian VillanteRating 5.2KO/TKO
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W · Sub · R2
Michael KuiperRating 5.2Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Francis CarmontRating 5.5Decision
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W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5KO/TKO
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Dollaway · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Khalid MurtazalievRating 2.8KO/TKO
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W · R1
Hector LombardRating 4UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5Decision
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