UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson
Stockholm, Sweden
24 Jan 2015
Flyweight
VS
49%
Seery
51%
Beal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
NS
Neil Seery
"2Tap"
16 – 13
5'4"64" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
CB
Chris Beal
"Real Deal"
10 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Beal

This is a genuine toss-up — Seery at 49% vs Beal at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Seery has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Seery
Beal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
64"
Reach
+69"
46
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Seery
Beal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
16.0
37.0
Performance Avg
40.0
33
Quality of Victory
40
58
Momentum Score
48
Seery
Beal
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
40%
Strike Accuracy
35%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
9
1
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
21Distance10
4Clinch1
2Ground3
Seery
Beal
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Seery
Beal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/29 fights
Chin rating based on
5/15 fights
Seery
Beal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
48
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Seery
Beal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Seery
Beal
Striking0.9 / 5.8Volume6.2 / 4.8Grappling4.3 / 1.2Wrestling3.0 / 0.8Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Seery
Strike Zones
Beal
Seery
Attacking
26HEAD1BODY0LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD4BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Beal
Attacking
9HEAD4BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD1BODY0LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Seery targets the head (96% of attacks) — Beal absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Beal targets the head (64% of attacks) — Seery absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Seery
RND
Beal
0/0R00/0

Seery · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W7.0L5.3L2014-032015-012015-102017-07
WinLossTrend

Beal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.0L2014-042014-092015-012015-082016-06
WinLossTrend

Seery · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Alexandre PantojaRating 5.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Sub · R2
Jon Delos ReyesRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Louis SmolkaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Chris BealRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

Beal · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Joe SotoRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · Dec · R3
Chris KeladesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · Dec · R3
Neil SeeryRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Tateki MatsudaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · 2014-09
W · KO · R2
Patrick WilliamsRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04

News & Media

Neil Seery · Chris Beal
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