METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz
Boston, USA
17 Jan 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
30%
Boetsch
70%
Herman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:39
★ Official Result
Ed HermanwinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:39
def. Tim Boetsch · UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Herman
→
Actual result
Herman wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Herman is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Boetsch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Boetsch's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Herman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BoetschHerman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Boetsch
Herman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+77"
45
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Boetsch
Herman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
38.7
46.0
Performance Avg
47.4
43
Quality of Victory
44
69
Momentum Score
82
Boetsch
Herman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.0
57%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
15
2
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance9
1Clinch6
0Ground3
Boetsch
Herman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Boetsch
Herman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
5
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/34 fights
Chin rating based on
26/43 fights
Boetsch
Herman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
82
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Boetsch
Herman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
69%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
5
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Boetsch
Herman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
BoetschHerman
Strike Zones
Boetsch
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedHerman
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Boetsch targets the head (57% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Herman targets the head (83% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Boetsch
RND
Herman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Boetsch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Herman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Boetsch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11
Herman · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05