UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz
Boston, USA
17 Jan 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
30%
Boetsch
70%
Herman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:39
TB
Tim Boetsch
"The Barbarian"
21 – 13
6'0"74" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 17
EH
Ed Herman
"Short Fuse"
27 – 16
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Herman

Herman is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Boetsch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Boetsch's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Herman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Boetsch
Herman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+77"
45
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Boetsch
Herman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
38.7
46.0
Performance Avg
47.4
43
Quality of Victory
44
69
Momentum Score
82
Boetsch
Herman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.0
57%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
15
2
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance9
1Clinch6
0Ground3
Boetsch
Herman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Boetsch
Herman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
5
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/34 fights
Chin rating based on
26/43 fights
Boetsch
Herman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
82
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Boetsch
Herman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
69%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
5
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Boetsch
Herman
Striking6.8 / 4.1Volume4.3 / 3.5Grappling1.0 / 3.8Wrestling0.7 / 2.7Submission0.0 / 3.9Pressure5.6 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Boetsch
Strike Zones
Herman
Boetsch
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD1BODY2LEGS18 absorbed
Herman
Attacking
15HEAD1BODY2LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Boetsch targets the head (57% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Herman targets the head (83% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Boetsch
RND
Herman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Boetsch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W4.0L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.3W2.8L1.5L2.9L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W1.5L5.5L2008-022011-052013-102016-072019-03
WinLossTrend

Herman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L1.5L5.0W5.2W5.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W1.8L5.2W4.0L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5W6.4L4.4L2006-062009-042014-052019-112023-04
WinLossTrend

Boetsch · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11

Herman · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

News & Media

Tim Boetsch · Ed Herman
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