UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
Orlando, USA
19 Apr 2014
Lightweight
VS
94%
Masvidal
6%
Healy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Masvidal
Masvidal is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Masvidal has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.
Striking split: Healy throws more volume but Masvidal connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Masvidal's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Masvidal
Healy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
74"+
Reach
72"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Masvidal
Healy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.2
2.2
47.0
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
43
Momentum Score
0
Masvidal
Healy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.2
49%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
3
3
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance4
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Masvidal
Healy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Masvidal
Healy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
80
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/52 fights
Chin rating based on
6/57 fights
Masvidal
Healy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Masvidal
Healy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Masvidal
Healy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MasvidalHealy
Strike Zones
Masvidal
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedHealy
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Masvidal targets the head (69% of attacks) — Healy absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Healy targets the head (50% of attacks) — Masvidal absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Masvidal
RND
Healy
0/0R00/0
Masvidal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Healy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Masvidal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · R3
Nate DiazRating 4.3UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
Healy · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Jorge MasvidalRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne · 2014-04
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Khabib NurmagomedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
Upcoming
Jim MillerUFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04