METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
Cincinnati, USA
10 May 2014
Welterweight
VS
71%
Brown
29%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:11
★ Official Result
Matt BrownwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:11
def. Erick Silva · UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Brown wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Brown is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brown has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrownSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brown
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
45
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
17.5
54.0
Performance Avg
51.3
52
Quality of Victory
54
78
Momentum Score
46
Brown
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.3
60%
Strike Accuracy
57%
8.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
13 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
1
3
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
5Clinch0
17Ground0
Brown
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.0
1.2
Submission Style (/10)
7.1
2
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brown
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
4
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/45 fights
Chin rating based on
15/28 fights
Brown
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
46
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Brown
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
100%
13
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
5
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
1.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.1
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
BrownSilva
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedSilva
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (88% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Brown · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Court McGeeRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · KO · R2
Dhiego LimaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Carlos ConditRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · KO · R2
Miguel BaezaRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jordan MeinRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · KO · R2
Yancy MedeirosRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R3
Luan ChagasRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · KO · R2
Nordine TalebRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08