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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
Perth, Australia
10 Feb 2018
Flyweight
VS
46%
Formiga
54%
Nguyen
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:43
JF
Jussier Formiga
238
5'5"67" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
BN
Ben Nguyen
"Ten"
168
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsSwitch65" reach5'5"
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Jussier FormigawinsSubmissionR3 · 1:43
def. Ben Nguyen · UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nguyen
Actual result
Formiga wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Formiga at 46% vs Nguyen at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Nguyen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Risk flags

Formiga's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Nguyen has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
FormigaNguyen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Formiga
Nguyen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
67"+
Reach
65"
41
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Formiga
Nguyen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
17.6
42.7
Performance Avg
51.8
34
Quality of Victory
48
64
Momentum Score
33
Formiga
Nguyen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
4.0
Style: Pressure
7.0
6.5
Style: Volume
3.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Formiga
Nguyen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Formiga
Nguyen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
16/31 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Formiga
Nguyen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Formiga
Nguyen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Formiga
Nguyen
Striking1.1 / 3.6Volume6.5 / 3.1Grappling4.3 / 4.6Wrestling3.0 / 3.2Submission3.3 / 5.0Pressure4.0 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
Formiga
Strike Zones
Nguyen
Formiga
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Nguyen
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Formiga targets the head (93% of attacks) — Nguyen absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Nguyen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Formiga absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Formiga
RND
Nguyen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Formiga · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alex Perez
KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Brandon Moreno
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
L · KO · R2
Joseph Benavidez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Deiveson Figueiredo
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Sergio Pettis
Decision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10

Nguyen · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Wilson Reis
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Sub · R3
Jussier Formiga
Submission
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · Sub · R1
Tim Elliott
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Geane Herrera
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · KO · R2
Louis Smolka
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07

News & Media

Jussier Formiga · Ben Nguyen
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