UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado
Sao Paulo, Brazil
31 May 2014
Welterweight
VS
68%
Maia
32%
Yakovlev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AY
CFR 15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Maia
Maia holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Yakovlev has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Yakovlev has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Yakovlev has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Maia
Yakovlev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
72"
Reach
+74"
48
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Maia
Yakovlev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
15.4
50.8
Performance Avg
40.2
40
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
36
Maia
Yakovlev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
5
0
Body
1
0
Leg
11
RangeRange
1Distance16
0Clinch1
6Ground0
Maia
Yakovlev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Yakovlev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
68
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
9/34 fights
Maia
Yakovlev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
36
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Maia
Yakovlev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
11
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maia
Yakovlev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
MaiaYakovlev
Strike Zones
Maia
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedYakovlev
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Yakovlev absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Yakovlev targets the legs (65% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maia
RND
Yakovlev
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Maia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Yakovlev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
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L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7KO/TKO
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W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5Decision
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W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
Yakovlev · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Joel AlvarezRating 2.8Submission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Roosevelt RobertsRating 5.7Decision
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W · Sub · R2
Alex Da SilvaRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
L · Sub · R2
Zak CummingsRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
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