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UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado
Sao Paulo, Brazil
31 May 2014
Welterweight
VS
68%
Maia
32%
Yakovlev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
DM
Demian Maia
28 – 11
6'1"72" reachSouthpaw48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
AY
Alexander Yakovlev
"Russian Thunder"
24 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'3"
CFR 15
β˜… Official Result
Demian MaiawinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Alexander Yakovlev Β· UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Maia
β†’
Actual result
Maia wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

Maia holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings β€” but Yakovlev has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Yakovlev has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Yakovlev has a chin rating of 68 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MaiaYakovlev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Maia
Yakovlev
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
72"
Reach
+74"
48
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Maia
Yakovlev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
15.4
50.8
Performance Avg
40.2
40
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
36
Maia
Yakovlev
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
0.5
0.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
5
0
Body
1
0
Leg
11
RangeRange
1Distance16
0Clinch1
6Ground0
Maia
Yakovlev
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
β€”
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Yakovlev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
68
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
β€”
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
β€”
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
9/34 fights
Maia
Yakovlev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
100
36
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Sub Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R2
L Β· Sub Β· R2
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Maia
Yakovlev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
11
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maia
Yakovlev
Striking1.8 / 4.0Volume5.0 / 3.3Grappling5.1 / 3.5Wrestling3.6 / 2.4Submission5.0 / 3.3Pressure5.8 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Maia
Strike Zones
Yakovlev
Maia
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY11LEGS17 absorbed
Yakovlev
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY11LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (100% of attacks) β€” Yakovlev absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Yakovlev targets the legs (65% of attacks) β€” Maia absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Maia
RND
Yakovlev
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Maia Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.4W5.5W5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.3L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.9W5.6W5.9W5.0W4.5W5.5L6.8L6.6L5.0W4.5W5.2W1.7L6.6L2007-102010-122014-052018-052021-06
WinLossTrend

Yakovlev Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L5.5L4.5W5.0W6.6L3.1L5.2W5.7L2.8L2014-052016-012019-042020-10
WinLossTrend

Maia Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 Β· 2021-06
L Β· KO Β· R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira Β· 2020-03
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren Β· 2019-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos Β· 2019-06
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Lyman GoodRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 Β· 2019-02

Yakovlev Β· Last 5

L Β· Sub Β· R1
Joel AlvarezRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje Β· 2020-10
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Roosevelt RobertsRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar Β· 2019-11
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Alex Da SilvaRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik Β· 2019-04
L Β· Sub Β· R2
Zak CummingsRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 Β· 2016-11
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6
Decision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko Β· 2016-07

News & Media

Demian Maia Β· Alexander Yakovlev
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