METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
Washington, USA
1 Oct 2011
Welterweight
VS
70%
Johnson
30%
Brenneman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:49
★ Official Result
Anthony JohnsonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:49
def. Charlie Brenneman · UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Johnson is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brenneman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonBrenneman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Brenneman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
78"+
Reach
70"
42+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Brenneman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
9.7
60.4
Performance Avg
29.5
55
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
45
Johnson
Brenneman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
0.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
49%
9.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
11 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
0
4
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
13Ground0
Johnson
Brenneman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Brenneman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
5
Sub Losses
3
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
11/27 fights
Johnson
Brenneman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
45
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Johnson
Brenneman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
0%
11
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Brenneman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
JohnsonBrenneman
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedBrenneman
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (63% of attacks) — Brenneman absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Brenneman targets the body (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Brenneman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Brenneman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.9WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Daniel CormierRating 2.1Submission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Jimi ManuwaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Daniel CormierRating 2.8Submission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
Brenneman · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Leandro SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux · 2014-11
L · KO · R2
Danny CastilloRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
L · Sub · R1
Beneil DariushRating 2.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
Kyle NokeRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06