UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Boston, USA
20 Jan 2018
Welterweight
VS
2%
Homasi
98%
Alhassan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:47
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Alhassan
Alhassan is a strong favourite at 98% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 65 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Alhassan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 59 points.
Striking split: Homasi throws more volume but Alhassan connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Homasi's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alhassan has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Homasi
Alhassan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
+73"
37+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Homasi
Alhassan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.0
65.5
0.0
Performance Avg
54.0
0
Quality of Victory
59
0
Momentum Score
100
Homasi
Alhassan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
4.2
1.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
53%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
11
5
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance11
4Clinch2
0Ground0
Homasi
Alhassan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Homasi
Alhassan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
36
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/19 fights
Chin rating based on
14/19 fights
Homasi
Alhassan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Homasi
Alhassan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Homasi
Alhassan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
HomasiAlhassan
Strike Zones
Homasi
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedAlhassan
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Homasi targets the body (63% of attacks) — Alhassan absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Alhassan targets the head (85% of attacks) — Homasi absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Homasi
RND
Alhassan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Homasi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.9WinLossTrend
Alhassan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Homasi · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Abdul Razak AlhassanRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · KO · R1
Abdul Razak AlhassanRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12
L · KO · R2
Tim MeansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
Alhassan · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Cesar AlmeidaRating 2.6KO/TKO
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