METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson
New Orleans, USA
6 Jun 2015
Lightweight
VS
80%
Poirier
20%
Medeiros
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:38
★ Official Result
Dustin PoirierwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:38
def. Yancy Medeiros · UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Poirier
→
Actual result
Poirier wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Poirier is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Poirier's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Medeiros has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PoirierMedeiros
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Poirier
Medeiros
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
72"
Reach
+75"
37+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Poirier
Medeiros
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.4
15.6
58.2
Performance Avg
45.4
50
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
39
Poirier
Medeiros
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
7.1
4.0
Style: Volume
2.2
10 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
5
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance6
15Clinch0
3Ground0
Poirier
Medeiros
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.1
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
4
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Poirier
Medeiros
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
14
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/40 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Poirier
Medeiros
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Poirier
Medeiros
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
83%
10
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Poirier
Medeiros
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
PoirierMedeiros
Strike Zones
Poirier
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedMedeiros
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Poirier targets the head (93% of attacks) — Medeiros absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Medeiros targets the head (83% of attacks) — Poirier absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Poirier
RND
Medeiros
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Poirier · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Sub · R5
Islam MakhachevSubmission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisKO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Sub · R3
Michael ChandlerSubmission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Medeiros · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Lando VannataDecision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · KO · R2
Gregor GillespieKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
W · KO · R3
Alex OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12