UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
Fairfax, USA
4 Apr 2015
Heavyweight
VS
57%
Abdurakhimov
43%
Johnson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:57
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Abdurakhimov
This is a genuine toss-up — Abdurakhimov at 57% vs Johnson at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Johnson throws more volume but Abdurakhimov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Abdurakhimov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Abdurakhimov
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
76"
Reach
+77"
44
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Abdurakhimov
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.1
17.9
41.0
Performance Avg
43.1
38
Quality of Victory
34
15
Momentum Score
83
Abdurakhimov
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.4
46%
Strike Accuracy
40%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
14
0
Body
1
4
Leg
7
RangeRange
9Distance3
0Clinch8
0Ground11
Abdurakhimov
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Abdurakhimov
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
6
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/28 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Abdurakhimov
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
83
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Abdurakhimov
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Abdurakhimov
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
AbdurakhimovJohnson
Strike Zones
Abdurakhimov
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Abdurakhimov targets the head (56% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (64% of attacks) — Abdurakhimov absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Abdurakhimov
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
Abdurakhimov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Abdurakhimov · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Chris DaukausRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · KO · R2
Marcin TyburaRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
Johnson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Marcelo GolmRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Junior AlbiniRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Daniel OmielanczukRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04