METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II
Chicago, USA
25 Jul 2015
Bantamweight
VS
70%
Dillashaw
30%
Barao
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 4 · 0:35
★ Official Result
TJ DillashawwinsKO/TKOR4 · 0:35
def. Renan Barao · UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dillashaw
→
Actual result
Dillashaw wins
KO/TKO · R4
Pre-fight analysis
Dillashaw is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Dillashaw's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barao has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DillashawBarao
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dillashaw
Barao
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
+70"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dillashaw
Barao
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.6
15.7
62.3
Performance Avg
59.4
56
Quality of Victory
64
100
Momentum Score
0
Dillashaw
Barao
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.8
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
5.5
4.5
Style: Volume
4.6
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
3
1
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
24Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Dillashaw
Barao
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dillashaw
Barao
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
24
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
17/43 fights
Dillashaw
Barao
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Dillashaw
Barao
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
56%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dillashaw
Barao
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
DillashawBarao
Strike Zones
Dillashaw
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedBarao
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dillashaw targets the head (92% of attacks) — Barao absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Barao targets the head (75% of attacks) — Dillashaw absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dillashaw
RND
Barao
0/0R00/0
Dillashaw · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Aljamain SterlingKO/TKO
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtKO/TKO
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtKO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
Barao · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Luke SandersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Andre EwellDecision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Brian KelleherDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07