METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II
Chicago, USA
25 Jul 2015
Bantamweight
VS
70%
Dillashaw
30%
Barao
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 4 · 0:35
★ Official Result
TJ DillashawwinsKO/TKOR4 · 0:35
def. Renan Barao · UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dillashaw
→
Actual result
Dillashaw wins
KO/TKO · R4
Pre-fight analysis
Dillashaw is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dillashaw has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Dillashaw's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barao has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DillashawBarao
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dillashaw
Barao
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
+70"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dillashaw
Barao
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.6
15.7
62.3
Performance Avg
59.4
56
Quality of Victory
64
100
Momentum Score
0
Dillashaw
Barao
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
38%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
3
1
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
24Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Dillashaw
Barao
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dillashaw
Barao
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
24
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
17/43 fights
Dillashaw
Barao
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Dillashaw
Barao
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
56%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dillashaw
Barao
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
DillashawBarao
Strike Zones
Dillashaw
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedBarao
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dillashaw targets the head (92% of attacks) — Barao absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Barao targets the head (75% of attacks) — Dillashaw absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dillashaw
RND
Barao
0/0R00/0
Dillashaw · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Barao · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Dillashaw · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Aljamain SterlingRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Henry CejudoRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
Barao · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Luke SandersRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Andre EwellRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Brian KelleherRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5Decision
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07