METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Las Vegas, USA
7 Feb 2026
Welterweight
VS
32%
Morono
68%
Donchenko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Daniil DonchenkowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alex Morono · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Donchenko
→
Actual result
Donchenko wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Donchenko holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Morono has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Donchenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Morono's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoronoDonchenko
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Morono
Donchenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
72"+
Reach
71"
36
Age
+25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Morono
Donchenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.0
75.6
43.3
Performance Avg
70.8
35
Quality of Victory
51
20
Momentum Score
100
Morono
Donchenko
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
7.0
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
6.5
6.7
Style: Volume
6.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
13
0
Body
6
0
Leg
15
RangeRange
17Distance33
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Morono
Donchenko
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
1.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Morono
Donchenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Morono
Donchenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Morono
Donchenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Morono
Donchenko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
MoronoDonchenko
Strike Zones
Morono
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedDonchenko
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Morono targets the head (100% of attacks) — Donchenko absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Donchenko targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Morono absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Morono
RND
Donchenko
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Morono · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniil DonchenkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Carlos LealKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
Donchenko · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Punahele SorianoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
W · KO · R2
Theodor BerggrenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Rodrigo SezinandoKO/TKO
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09