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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 58: USA vs Canada
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2006
Middleweight
VS
90%
Swick
10%
Vigneault
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:09
MS
Mike Swick
"Quick"
156
6'1"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
SV
Steve Vigneault
"Lionheart"
126
Well-Rounded48 yrsOrthodox5'10"
CFR 3
★ Official Result
Mike SwickwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:09
def. Steve Vigneault · UFC 58: USA vs Canada

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Swick
Actual result
Swick wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Swick is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Swick has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.

Risk flags

Swick's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SwickVigneault
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Swick
Vigneault
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
77"
Reach
47+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swick
Vigneault
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.6
2.5
55.0
Performance Avg
0.0
47
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Swick
Vigneault
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.7
Style: Volume
0.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
0
Body
1
9
Leg
4
RangeRange
4Distance1
9Clinch5
0Ground0
Swick
Vigneault
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Swick
Vigneault
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
1/18 fights
Swick
Vigneault
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Swick
Vigneault
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Swick
Vigneault
Striking6.3 / 0.0Volume3.7 / 0.0Grappling2.3 / 0.0Wrestling1.6 / 0.0Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure6.9 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Swick
Strike Zones
Vigneault
Swick
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY9LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY4LEGS6 absorbed
Vigneault
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY4LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY9LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Swick targets the legs (69% of attacks) — Vigneault absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Vigneault targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Swick absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Swick
RND
Vigneault
0/0R00/0

Swick · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alex Garcia
Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Matt Brown
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
DaMarques Johnson
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Sub · R2
Paulo Thiago
Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Dan Hardy
Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11

Vigneault · Last 1

L · Sub · R1
Mike Swick
Submission
UFC 58: USA vs Canada · 2006-03

News & Media

Mike Swick · Steve Vigneault
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