UFC 58: USA vs Canada
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2006
Middleweight
VS
90%
Swick
10%
Vigneault
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:09
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Swick
Swick is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Swick has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.
Vigneault has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Swick's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Swick
Vigneault
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
77"
Reach
46+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swick
Vigneault
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.6
2.5
55.0
Performance Avg
0.0
47
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Swick
Vigneault
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
2.4
36%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
0
Body
1
9
Leg
4
RangeRange
4Distance1
9Clinch5
0Ground0
Swick
Vigneault
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Swick
Vigneault
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
1/18 fights
Swick
Vigneault
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Swick
Vigneault
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Swick
Vigneault
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SwickVigneault
Strike Zones
Swick
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedVigneault
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Swick targets the legs (69% of attacks) — Vigneault absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Vigneault targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Swick absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Swick
RND
Vigneault
0/0R00/0
Swick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Swick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
DaMarques JohnsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Sub · R2
Paulo ThiagoRating 2.8Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
Vigneault · Last 1
L · Sub · R1
Mike SwickRating 1.5Submission
UFC 58: USA vs Canada · 2006-03