UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
13 Feb 2021
Catch Weight
VS
28%
Ewell
72%
Gutierrez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AE
Andre Ewell
"Mr. Highlight"
17 – 9
5'8"75" reachSouthpaw38 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
Chris
Chris Gutierrez
"El Guapo"
22 – 7
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'9"
CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gutierrez

Gutierrez is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gutierrez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ewell's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ewell
Gutierrez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
75"+
Reach
67"
38
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ewell
Gutierrez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
44.2
32.8
Performance Avg
49.3
25
Quality of Victory
35
35
Momentum Score
25
Ewell
Gutierrez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.8
40%
Strike Accuracy
61%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
14
9
Body
5
6
Leg
22
RangeRange
21Distance39
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Ewell
Gutierrez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ewell
Gutierrez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/26 fights
Chin rating based on
15/29 fights
Ewell
Gutierrez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
25
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Ewell
Gutierrez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
30%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ewell
Gutierrez
Striking0.9 / 4.4Volume8.9 / 7.0Grappling2.4 / 1.7Wrestling1.7 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.3 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Ewell
Strike Zones
Gutierrez
Ewell
Attacking
6HEAD9BODY6LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD5BODY22LEGS41 absorbed
Gutierrez
Attacking
14HEAD5BODY22LEGS41 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD9BODY6LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ewell targets the body (43% of attacks) — Gutierrez absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Gutierrez targets the legs (54% of attacks) — Ewell absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ewell
RND
Gutierrez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ewell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W4.8L4.5W4.8L5.0W4.5W6.0L3.5L6.3L2018-092019-102021-022021-12
WinLossTrend

Gutierrez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0103.6L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.9W5.0W6.0L5.1W6.8L5.0W5.3W7.0L2018-112021-022023-042025-042025-10
WinLossTrend

Ewell · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Julio ArceRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 6
Decision
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
W · Dec · R3
Irwin RiveraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5
Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02

Gutierrez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Farid BasharatRating 7
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
John CastanedaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Quang LeRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Song YadongRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10

News & Media

Andre Ewell · Chris Gutierrez
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