METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Boston, USA
19 Aug 2023
Middleweight
VS
64%
Rodrigues
36%
Tiuliulin
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:43
★ Official Result
Gregory RodrigueswinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:43
def. Denis Tiuliulin · UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodrigues
→
Actual result
Rodrigues wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Rodrigues holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Tiuliulin has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Rodrigues's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tiuliulin has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RodriguesTiuliulin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rodrigues
Tiuliulin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+77"
34+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodrigues
Tiuliulin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.6
36.6
58.7
Performance Avg
39.7
46
Quality of Victory
55
100
Momentum Score
20
Rodrigues
Tiuliulin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.9
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
7.5
4.5
Style: Volume
0.3
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Rodrigues
Tiuliulin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rodrigues
Tiuliulin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/25 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Rodrigues
Tiuliulin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R4
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Rodrigues
Tiuliulin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodrigues
Tiuliulin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
RodriguesTiuliulin
Strike Zones
Rodrigues
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTiuliulin
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodrigues targets the head (80% of attacks) — Tiuliulin absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Tiuliulin targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rodrigues absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodrigues
RND
Tiuliulin
0/0R00/0
Rodrigues · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Anthony HernandezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraKO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovDecision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Jack HermanssonKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · KO · R4
Jared CannonierKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
Tiuliulin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sedriques DumasDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Christian Leroy DuncanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Sub · R1
JunYong ParkSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
W · KO · R2
Jamie PickettKO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09