UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson
London, United Kingdom
18 Mar 2017
Heavyweight
VS
46%
Omielanczuk
54%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Johnson
This is a genuine toss-up — Omielanczuk at 46% vs Johnson at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Johnson throws more volume but Omielanczuk connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Omielanczuk
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+77"
43
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Omielanczuk
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.0
17.9
41.8
Performance Avg
43.1
40
Quality of Victory
34
30
Momentum Score
83
Omielanczuk
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.4
61%
Strike Accuracy
40%
5.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
8
6
Body
0
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
7Distance6
9Clinch7
0Ground0
Omielanczuk
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Omielanczuk
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/27 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Omielanczuk
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
83
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Omielanczuk
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Omielanczuk
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
OmielanczukJohnson
Strike Zones
Omielanczuk
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Omielanczuk targets the head (50% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (62% of attacks) — Omielanczuk absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Omielanczuk
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
Omielanczuk · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Omielanczuk · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Curtis BlaydesRating 6.4Decision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Timothy JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Sub · R2
Stefan StruveRating 2.8Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Jarjis DanhoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
Johnson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Marcelo GolmRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Junior AlbiniRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Daniel OmielanczukRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04