METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio
Buenos Aires, Argentina
17 Nov 2018
Featherweight
VS
32%
Lamas
68%
Elkins
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:09
★ Official Result
Ricardo LamaswinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:09
def. Darren Elkins · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elkins
→
Actual result
Lamas wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Elkins holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Lamas has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lamas has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lamas's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Elkins has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LamasElkins
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lamas
Elkins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
44
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lamas
Elkins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
44.7
52.0
Performance Avg
46.3
44
Quality of Victory
35
98
Momentum Score
66
Lamas
Elkins
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.3
54%
Strike Accuracy
38%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
19
6
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance16
5Clinch4
12Ground1
Lamas
Elkins
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lamas
Elkins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/28 fights
Chin rating based on
30/41 fights
Lamas
Elkins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
66
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Lamas
Elkins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
37%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lamas
Elkins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.6
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
LamasElkins
Strike Zones
Lamas
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedElkins
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lamas targets the head (64% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Elkins targets the head (90% of attacks) — Lamas absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lamas
RND
Elkins
0/0R00/0
Lamas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Elkins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Lamas · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Calvin KattarRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · KO · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Mirsad BekticRating 5.5Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
Elkins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Tristan ConnellyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04