METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio
Buenos Aires, Argentina
17 Nov 2018
Featherweight
VS
32%
Lamas
68%
Elkins
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:09
★ Official Result
Ricardo LamaswinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:09
def. Darren Elkins · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elkins
→
Actual result
Lamas wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Elkins holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Lamas has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Lamas's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Elkins has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LamasElkins
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lamas
Elkins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
44
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lamas
Elkins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
44.3
52.0
Performance Avg
45.5
44
Quality of Victory
35
98
Momentum Score
66
Lamas
Elkins
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
4.4
4.2
Style: Volume
6.3
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
19
6
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance16
5Clinch4
12Ground1
Lamas
Elkins
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
1.6
3
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lamas
Elkins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/28 fights
Chin rating based on
31/41 fights
Lamas
Elkins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
66
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Lamas
Elkins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
37%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lamas
Elkins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.6
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
LamasElkins
Strike Zones
Lamas
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedElkins
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lamas targets the head (64% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Elkins targets the head (90% of attacks) — Lamas absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lamas
RND
Elkins
0/0R00/0
Lamas · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Calvin KattarKO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · KO · R3
Darren ElkinsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Mirsad BekticDecision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
Elkins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Yadier del ValleKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12