METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Sydney, Australia
9 Sept 2023
Heavyweight
VS
81%
Tafa
19%
Lane
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:22
★ Official Result
Justin TafawinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:22
def. Austen Lane · UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tafa
→
Actual result
Tafa wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Tafa is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tafa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Risk flags
Tafa's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lane has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TafaLane
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tafa
Lane
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'6"
74"
Reach
+80"
32+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tafa
Lane
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.5
14.4
53.8
Performance Avg
21.7
60
Quality of Victory
25
98
Momentum Score
0
Tafa
Lane
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
8.3
Style: Pressure
0.5
0.9
Style: Volume
8.3
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
3
0
Body
1
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance7
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Tafa
Lane
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tafa
Lane
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/12 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Tafa
Lane
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Tafa
Lane
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tafa
Lane
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.5
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
TafaLane
Strike Zones
Tafa
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedLane
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tafa targets the head (82% of attacks) — Lane absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Lane targets the head (43% of attacks) — Tafa absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tafa
RND
Lane
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tafa · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraKO/TKO
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Austen LaneKO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Upcoming
Austen LaneUFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Parker PorterKO/TKO
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
Lane · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Iwo BaraniewskiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Mario PintoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Robelis DespaigneDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jhonata DinizKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04