UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Jul 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
45%
Aslan
55%
Elekana
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Elekana
This is a genuine toss-up — Aslan at 45% vs Elekana at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Aslan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Aslan throws more volume but Elekana connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Aslan's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Aslan
Elekana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
77"
30
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Aslan
Elekana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.7
66.3
49.0
Performance Avg
55.7
55
Quality of Victory
43
46
Momentum Score
98
Aslan
Elekana
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.8
1.2
53%
Strike Accuracy
59%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
9
4
Body
6
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance15
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Aslan
Elekana
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aslan
Elekana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/18 fights
Chin rating based on
5/12 fights
Aslan
Elekana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
98
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Aslan
Elekana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aslan
Elekana
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
AslanElekana
Strike Zones
Aslan
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedElekana
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aslan targets the head (50% of attacks) — Elekana absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Elekana targets the head (60% of attacks) — Aslan absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aslan
RND
Elekana
0/0R00/0
Aslan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Elekana · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Aslan · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Iwo BaraniewskiRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Billy ElekanaRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Ion CutelabaRating 1.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael CerqueiraRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R3
Anton TurkaljRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
Elekana · Last 5
Upcoming
Iwo BaraniewskiUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Sub · R2
Junior TafaRating 6.1Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Sub · R1
Kevin ChristianRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ibo AslanRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R2
Bogdan GuskovRating 4.8Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01