UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida
Sao Paulo, Brazil
28 Oct 2017
Lightweight
VS
23%
Dias
77%
Gordon
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
HD
Hacran Dias
"Barnabe"
23 – 6
5'8"69" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 13
Jared
Jared Gordon
"Flash"
21 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'9"
CFR 42

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gordon

Gordon is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gordon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Gordon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Gordon has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Dias
Gordon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
69"+
Reach
68"
41
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dias
Gordon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
42.1
30.0
Performance Avg
42.8
25
Quality of Victory
36
50
Momentum Score
63
Dias
Gordon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
2.6
45%
Strike Accuracy
54%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
30
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance9
1Clinch1
0Ground21
Dias
Gordon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dias
Gordon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/29 fights
Chin rating based on
18/30 fights
Dias
Gordon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Dias
Gordon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dias
Gordon
Striking0.8 / 4.4Volume8.8 / 6.4Grappling2.4 / 1.6Wrestling1.7 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.1 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
Dias
Strike Zones
Gordon
Dias
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
30HEAD1BODY0LEGS31 absorbed
Gordon
Attacking
30HEAD1BODY0LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dias targets the head (88% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Gordon targets the head (97% of attacks) — Dias absorbs 97% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dias
RND
Gordon
0/0R00/0

Dias · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W6.0L6.2L5.9L2012-062014-062015-062016-102017-10
WinLossTrend

Gordon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W4.5W2.5L4.6L4.5W2.9L4.5W4.5W5.2W5.5L4.6W7.2L5.2W6.2L5.2W4.8L1.9L2017-062019-112022-082025-092026-05
WinLossTrend

Dias · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 6
Decision
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Levan MakashviliRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12

Gordon · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Thiago MoisesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Mark MadsenRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

News & Media

Hacran Dias · Jared Gordon
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