UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
San Jose, USA
26 Jul 2014
Lightweight
VS
57%
Arreola
43%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AA
Akbarh Arreola
"El Caballero"
23 – 11
5'10"71" reachSouthpaw43 yrs2-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 18
Td
Tiago dos Santos e Silva
"Trator"
20 – 7
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Arreola

This is a genuine toss-up — Arreola at 57% vs Silva at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Arreola has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Striking split: Silva throws more volume but Arreola connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Arreola
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
71"+
Reach
70"
43
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Arreola
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
13.6
42.4
Performance Avg
35.0
54
Quality of Victory
25
36
Momentum Score
56
Arreola
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.0
44%
Strike Accuracy
38%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
10
6
Body
6
0
Leg
13
RangeRange
9Distance9
1Clinch20
0Ground0
Arreola
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arreola
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/34 fights
Chin rating based on
4/27 fights
Arreola
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Arreola
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arreola
Silva
Striking0.5 / 1.0Volume0.5 / 9.0Grappling8.0 / 2.4Wrestling5.6 / 1.7Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Arreola
Strike Zones
Silva
Arreola
Attacking
4HEAD6BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD6BODY13LEGS29 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
10HEAD6BODY13LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD6BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arreola targets the body (60% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the legs (45% of attacks) — Arreola absorbs 45% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arreola
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0

Arreola · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.0W5.5L5.8L2014-072014-112015-032015-11
WinLossTrend

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.5W1.5L4.5W5.5L2014-072015-022015-092016-12
WinLossTrend

Arreola · Last 4

L · R2
Jake MatthewsRating 5.8
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
W · Sub · R1
Yves EdwardsRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Tiago dos Santos e SilvaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07

Silva · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Shane BurgosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
W · Dec · R3
Clay CollardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · KO · R1
Mike de la TorreRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Akbarh ArreolaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07

News & Media

Akbarh Arreola · Tiago dos Santos e Silva
← Back to fights