METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Seattle, USA
28 Mar 2026
Featherweight
VS
38%
Erosa
62%
Douglas
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:33
★ Official Result
Lerryan DouglaswinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:33
def. Julian Erosa · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Douglas
→
Actual result
Douglas wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Douglas holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Erosa has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Douglas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Erosa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ErosaDouglas
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Erosa
Douglas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
72"
37
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Erosa
Douglas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.6
64.2
46.2
Performance Avg
56.0
44
Quality of Victory
60
26
Momentum Score
71
Erosa
Douglas
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.2
Style: Pressure
8.5
3.7
Style: Volume
1.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
18
2
Body
3
2
Leg
8
RangeRange
16Distance25
1Clinch2
0Ground2
Erosa
Douglas
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Erosa
Douglas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
7
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/45 fights
Chin rating based on
2/19 fights
Erosa
Douglas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
71
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Erosa
Douglas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Erosa
Douglas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
ErosaDouglas
Strike Zones
Erosa
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedDouglas
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Erosa targets the head (76% of attacks) — Douglas absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Douglas targets the head (62% of attacks) — Erosa absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Erosa
RND
Douglas
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Erosa · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Lerryan DouglasKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Melquizael CostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Darren ElkinsKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Christian RodriguezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Sub · R1
Ricardo RamosSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
Douglas · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Jamall EmmersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · KO · R1
Julian ErosaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03