UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Seattle, USA
28 Mar 2026
Featherweight
VS
32%
Erosa
68%
Douglas
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:33
Julian
Julian Erosa
"Juicy J"
31 – 14
6'1"74" reachSouthpaw36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
Lerryan
Lerryan Douglas
"Gunslinger"
14 – 5
Knockout Artist31 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 83

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Douglas

Douglas holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Erosa has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Douglas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Douglas has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Erosa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Erosa
Douglas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
72"
36
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Erosa
Douglas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.6
82.8
46.2
Performance Avg
76.0
44
Quality of Victory
60
26
Momentum Score
100
Erosa
Douglas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
11.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
60%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
18
2
Body
3
2
Leg
8
RangeRange
16Distance25
1Clinch2
0Ground2
Erosa
Douglas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Erosa
Douglas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
100
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
7
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/45 fights
Chin rating based on
1/19 fights
Erosa
Douglas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
Erosa
Douglas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Erosa
Douglas
Striking3.2 / 10.0Volume3.7 / 2.0Grappling4.4 / 0.0Wrestling3.0 / 0.0Submission4.4 / 0.0Pressure6.2 / 10.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
10.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
Erosa
Strike Zones
Douglas
Erosa
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY2LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD3BODY8LEGS29 absorbed
Douglas
Attacking
18HEAD3BODY8LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY2LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Erosa targets the head (76% of attacks) — Douglas absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Douglas targets the head (62% of attacks) — Erosa absorbs 62% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Erosa
RND
Douglas
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Erosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W2.8L1.5L7.0L4.7L6.6W5.7W1.7L6.3W4.5W4.6W1.7L2.8L5.1W5.6W5.5W6.7L3.9L2015-122020-062022-092025-042026-03
WinLossTrend

Erosa · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Lerryan DouglasRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Melquizael CostaRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Darren ElkinsRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Christian RodriguezRating 5.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Sub · R1
Ricardo RamosRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

Douglas · Last 1

W · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03

News & Media

Julian Erosa · Lerryan Douglas
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