UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira
Portland, USA
29 Aug 2009
Heavyweight
VS
61%
Duffee
39%
Hague
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:07
TH
CFR 16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Duffee
Duffee holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Hague has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Duffee throws more volume but Hague connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Duffee's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hague has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Duffee
Hague
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
78"+
Reach
76"
40+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Duffee
Hague
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.5
15.8
60.0
Performance Avg
40.4
60
Quality of Victory
54
98
Momentum Score
33
Duffee
Hague
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
1.4
46%
Strike Accuracy
59%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Duffee
Hague
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Duffee
Hague
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
5/34 fights
Duffee
Hague
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
33
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Duffee
Hague
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Duffee
Hague
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
DuffeeHague
Strike Zones
Duffee
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedHague
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Duffee targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hague absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Duffee
RND
Hague
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Duffee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Hague · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Duffee · Last 5
Upcoming
Jeff HughesUFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
L · KO · R1
Frank MirRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Anthony HamiltonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
W · KO · R1
Philip De FriesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R3
Mike RussowRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
Hague · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01
L · Dec · R3
Joey BeltranRating 5.5Decision
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · Dec · R3
Chris TuchschererRating 5.5Decision
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · KO · R1
Todd DuffeeRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
W · Sub · R1
Pat BarryRating 5Submission
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05