UFC 5: The Return of the Beast
Charlotte, USA
7 Apr 1995
Open Weight
VS
92%
Mezger
8%
Dowdy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:02
GM
Guy Mezger
30 – 14
6'1"Orthodox58 yrsStriker
CFR 26
JD
John Dowdy
0 – 1
Well-RoundedNaN
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Mezger

Mezger is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Mezger has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 62 points.

Mezger
Dowdy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
58
Age
—
Orthodox
Stance
—
Mezger
Dowdy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.1
2.2
69.1
Performance Avg
0.0
62
Quality of Victory
0
95
Momentum Score
0
Mezger
Dowdy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
—
61%
Strike Accuracy
0%
6.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
0
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
2Clinch0
8Ground0
Mezger
Dowdy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mezger
Dowdy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/44 fights
Chin rating based on
1 fights
Mezger
Dowdy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
0
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Mezger
Dowdy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mezger
Dowdy
Striking6.6 / 0.0Volume3.6 / 0.0Grappling2.6 / 0.0Wrestling1.8 / 0.0Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure7.7 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Mezger
Strike Zones
Dowdy
Mezger
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Dowdy
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mezger targets the head (83% of attacks) — Dowdy absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mezger
RND
Dowdy
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Mezger · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W5.0W4.2W5.0W1.5L1994-121995-041997-051997-051999-03
WinLossTrend

Mezger · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Tito OrtizRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 19: Ultimate Young Guns · 1999-03
W · Sub · R1
Tito OrtizRating 5
Submission
UFC 13: The Ultimate Force · 1997-05
W · Dec · R2
Christophe LeningerRating 4.2
Decision
UFC 13: The Ultimate Force · 1997-05
W · KO · R1
John DowdyRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 5: The Return of the Beast · 1995-04
W · KO · R1
Jason FairnRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 4: Revenge of the Warriors · 1994-12

Dowdy · Last 1

L · KO · R1
Guy MezgerRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 5: The Return of the Beast · 1995-04

News & Media

Guy Mezger · John Dowdy
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