UFC Fight Night 6
Las Vegas, USA
17 Aug 2006
Welterweight
VS
82%
Petz
18%
Morgan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Petz
Petz is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Petz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Striking split: Petz throws more volume but Morgan connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Petz's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Petz
Morgan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
50
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Petz
Morgan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.7
2.1
26.4
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
30
Momentum Score
0
Petz
Morgan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.3
26%
Strike Accuracy
28%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
3
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance4
1Clinch0
5Ground0
Petz
Morgan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Petz
Morgan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/36 fights
Chin rating based on
2/30 fights
Petz
Morgan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Petz
Morgan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Petz
Morgan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PetzMorgan
Strike Zones
Petz
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedMorgan
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Petz targets the head (75% of attacks) — Morgan absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Morgan targets the head (50% of attacks) — Petz absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Petz
RND
Morgan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0
Petz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Morgan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Petz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Brian FosterRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RobertsRating 5.5Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · Dec · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 77: Hostile Territory · 2007-10
W · Dec · R3
Luigi FioravantiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stout vs Fisher · 2007-06
L · Dec · R3
Kuniyoshi HironakaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04
Morgan · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Forrest PetzRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night 6 · 2006-08
L · KO · R1
Joshua BurkmanRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Franklin Finale · 2005-11